Orange Premium diesel price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Orange premium diesel averages 273.5 c/L. Wait if you can: FuelRadar's forecast has prices lower by 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook). No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Metro Orange- Self-serve, is 265.9 c/L, 7.6 c/L under the average.
Premium dieselOutlook updated
Wait if you can
FuelRadar's forecast has prices lower by 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook)Cheapest of 8 stations: 265.9 c/L at Metro Orange- Self-serve · Updated
Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 271.2 c/L (2.3 below today).
Alert me below 263.6
Premium diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Premium diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 278.8 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 273.5 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 271.2 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Orange estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 273.5 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 270.7 to 279.5 c/L273.0
- likely 268.8 to 282.0 c/L272.4
- likely 267.8 to 284.7 c/L272.1
- likely 266.8 to 287.4 c/L271.8
- likely 265.8 to 290.0 c/L271.5
- likely 264.9 to 292.7 c/L271.2
- likely 264.9 to 292.7 c/L271.2
Orange prices are typical right now
The city average of 274.1 c/L sits inside the usual range of 252.8 to 278.8 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 40% of the last 90 days.
Orange Premium diesel forecast explained
What usually happens next
Premium diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Orange's daily averages. That puts it down about 2.3 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L to 257.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 275.7 | No regular cycle | 275.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 276.5 | No regular cycle | 273.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 278.0 | No regular cycle | 275.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 274.1 | No regular cycle | 270.3 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 267.7 (lowest) | No regular cycle | 265.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 285.0 | No regular cycle | 286.6 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 287.9 | No regular cycle | About the same |
| Hobart | 283.8 | No regular cycle | 281.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is Premium diesel cheapest in Orange?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Premium diesel weekday averages in Orange were within 0.7 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 244.4 c/LFri 14 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +29.7 c/LCity average 274.1 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Orange Premium diesel city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
See the Orange Premium diesel forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 5.49 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 5.46 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 536 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.94 | 1.05 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.43 | 2.74 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 5.49 | 5.46 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 9.24 | 8.60 | Further off than no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Orange's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 1.2 c/L on average, further off than assuming prices stay the same (1.1 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will Premium diesel prices go down in Orange?
Wait if you can (yesterday's outlook): Premium diesel in Orange is estimated to edge down about 2.3 c/L, to 271.2 c/L by Mon 16 Nov (likely 264.9–292.7), from 273.5 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Premium diesel in Orange?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Orange over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.7 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Premium diesel price outlook?
Accurate enough for tomorrow's call. Further out it is an estimate, and the range widens with each day. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day Premium diesel forecasts for Orange were off by 1.2 c/L on average over 56 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was closer (1.1 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest Premium diesel prices in Orange in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Orange Premium diesel city daily average ranged from 244.4 c/L on Fri 14 Aug to 287.9 c/L on Fri 25 Sept. It was 274.1 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will premium diesel prices go up tomorrow in Orange?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Orange estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 273.0 c/L, down 0.5 c/L on the 273.5 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Orange missed by 1.2 c/L on average over 56 days checked, further off than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report