Orange P95 price forecast

As of Tue 10 Nov, Orange P95 averages 245.3 c/L. Little change expected: FuelRadar's forecast shows little change through 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook). No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Pearl Energy Orange, is 237.5 c/L, 7.8 c/L under the average.

P95Outlook updated

Little change expected

FuelRadar's forecast shows little change through 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook)
City average (estimate) · 245.3 c/L
Last 7 days From 251.8 on Mon 2 Nov
Expected by 245.1 c/L

Cheapest of 12 stations: 237.5 c/L at Pearl Energy Orange · Updated

Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 244.7 c/L (0.6 below today).

Alert me below 236.5
Compare Orange stations

P95: last 30 days and the next 7

P95: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 255.5 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 245.3 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 245.1 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Reported city daily averageEstimate with likely range

Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Orange estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 245.3 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 242.8 to 249.6 c/L245.0
  2. likely 241.2 to 251.7 c/L244.7
  3. likely 240.8 to 254.6 c/L244.8
  4. likely 240.3 to 257.6 c/L244.9
  5. likely 239.9 to 260.5 c/L245.0
  6. likely 239.4 to 263.4 c/L245.1
  7. likely 237.8 to 263.4 c/L245.1
Download today and the next 7 days (CSV)

Orange prices are typical right now

The city average of 245.6 c/L sits inside the usual range of 223.2 to 254.8 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 41% of the last 90 days.

Orange P95 forecast explained

What usually happens next

Orange has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That leaves it about level by .

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Price cycleCall
Sydney243.6Cycle paused241.8 by Tue 17 Nov
Melbourne245.6Cycle paused243.5 by Tue 17 Nov
Brisbane244.0Cycle paused242.4 by Tue 17 Nov
Perth234.0 (lowest)Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 248.2 peak222.1 by Tue 17 Nov
Adelaide236.3Cycle paused234.0 by Tue 17 Nov
Canberra260.9Cycle paused260.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Darwin258.0Cycle paused258.6 by Tue 17 Nov
Hobart256.5Cycle paused255.4 by Tue 17 Nov

When is P95 cheapest in Orange?

No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Orange were within 1.0 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.

When is P95 cheapest in Orange?
90-day low217.1 c/LThu 3 Sept
Today against the 90-day low+28.5 c/LCity average 245.6 c/L on Mon 9 Nov

From 90 days of Orange P95 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.

See the Orange P95 forecast in the app

The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play
FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
5.49 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
5.46 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.

From 536 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.941.05Closer than no change
3 days ahead2.432.74Closer than no change
7 days ahead5.495.46About the same as no change
14 days ahead9.248.60Further off than no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

Orange forecast graphics for news

The Orange P95 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).

Get these as graphics:

Forecast board16:94:59:16

When to fill16:94:59:16

Free to use in news coverage with the credit "Source: FuelRadar". The media page has the dated addresses.

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Orange's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 1.0 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.1 c/L).

56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov

Forecast test results

Forecast questions

When will P95 prices go down in Orange?

Little change expected (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Orange is estimated to change little, to 245.1 c/L by Mon 16 Nov (likely 239.4–263.4), from 245.3 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy P95 in Orange?

No weekday was consistently cheaper in Orange over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.0 c/L of each other.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?

Accurate enough for tomorrow's call. Further out it is an estimate, and the range widens with each day. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Orange were off by 1.0 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.1 c/L).

What were the lowest and highest P95 prices in Orange in the last 90 days?

Since Wed 12 Aug, the Orange P95 city daily average ranged from 217.1 c/L on Thu 3 Sept to 258.3 c/L on Fri 25 Sept. It was 245.6 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.

Will p95 prices go up tomorrow in Orange?

Estimate only: FuelRadar's Orange estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 245.0 c/L, down 0.3 c/L on the 245.3 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Orange missed by 1.0 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.

When will diesel prices go down in Orange?

Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Orange diesel city daily average was 272.5 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 3.8 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Orange diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.

Fuel price reports

What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.

Australia U91
242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before