Orange E10 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Orange E10 averages 228.3 c/L. Wait if you can: FuelRadar's forecast has prices lower by 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook). No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, United Petroleum Orange, is 223.5 c/L, 4.8 c/L under the average.
E10Outlook updated
Wait if you can
FuelRadar's forecast has prices lower by 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook)Cheapest of 12 stations: 223.5 c/L at United Petroleum Orange · Updated
Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 225.0 c/L (3.3 below today).
Alert me below 220.2
E10: last 30 days and the next 7
E10: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 237.0 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 228.3 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 225.0 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Orange estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 228.3 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 224.9 to 231.5 c/L227.2
- likely 222.6 to 232.6 c/L226.2
- likely 221.6 to 235.9 c/L225.9
- likely 220.6 to 239.2 c/L225.6
- likely 219.6 to 242.4 c/L225.3
- likely 218.5 to 245.7 c/L225.0
- likely 218.5 to 245.7 c/L225.0
Orange prices are typical right now
The city average of 228.7 c/L sits inside the usual range of 205.7 to 237.0 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 40% of the last 90 days.
Orange E10 forecast explained
What usually happens next
Orange has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That puts it down about 3.3 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 224.3 | Cycle paused | 222.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 224.6 | Cycle paused | 222.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 224.6 | Cycle paused | 222.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 214.5 (lowest) | Cycle paused | 212.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 240.5 | Cycle paused | 240.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 229.9 | Cycle paused | 229.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is E10 cheapest in Orange?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the E10 weekday averages in Orange were within 1.0 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 199.3 c/LThu 3 Sept |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +29.4 c/LCity average 228.7 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Orange E10 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
See the Orange E10 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 5.49 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 5.46 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 536 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.94 | 1.05 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.43 | 2.74 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 5.49 | 5.46 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 9.24 | 8.60 | Further off than no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Orange forecast graphics for news
The Orange E10 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Orange's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.9 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.1 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will E10 prices go down in Orange?
Wait if you can (yesterday's outlook): E10 in Orange is estimated to edge down about 3.3 c/L, to 225.0 c/L by Mon 16 Nov (likely 218.5–245.7), from 228.3 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy E10 in Orange?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Orange over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.0 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's E10 price outlook?
Accurate enough for tomorrow's call. Further out it is an estimate, and the range widens with each day. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day E10 forecasts for Orange were off by 0.9 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.1 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest E10 prices in Orange in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Orange E10 city daily average ranged from 199.3 c/L on Thu 3 Sept to 241.3 c/L on Fri 25 Sept. It was 228.7 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will e10 prices go up tomorrow in Orange?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Orange estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 227.2 c/L, down 1.1 c/L on the 228.3 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Orange missed by 0.9 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Orange?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Orange diesel city daily average was 272.5 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 3.8 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Orange diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report