Croydon P95 price forecast
As of Mon 16 Nov, Croydon P95 averages 223.2 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 2.5 c/L to 220.7 c/L by Mon 23 Nov.
P95
More fuels (1)
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 2.5 c/L by Mon 23 Nov.
- City average (estimate)
- 223.2 c/L
- Typical miss, a week ahead
- 4.6 c/L(no change: 4.9)
Sydney prices are typical right now
Cheaper than on 68% of the last 90 days. Usual range 225.8 to 255.0 c/L.
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Cheapest P95 near Croydon now
Updated
Capital cities
City averages, Sun 15 Nov.
See the Croydon P95 forecast in the app
The 7-day Croydon forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
Questions about the Croydon forecast
Croydon P95 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Croydon uses the Sydney P95 outlook, adjusted by -8.5 c/L for Croydon's own price history.
What usually happens next
The estimate is down about 2.5 c/L to 220.7 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated its estimate at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Sydney fell 15.3 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.5% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
What is the P95 estimate each day, and can I download it?
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 223.2 c/L on 16 Nov 2026 to 220.7 c/L on 23 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sun 15 Nov, then the FuelRadar Sydney estimate dated Sun 15 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 8.5 c/L lower for Croydon's local prices.
Lowest estimate: Sun 22 Nov, about 220.7 c/L (2.5 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 223.2 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 219.8 to 226.3 c/L222.40.8 cents per litre lower
- likely 217.6 to 227.4 c/L221.61.6 cents per litre lower
- likely 215.9 to 229.7 c/L221.41.8 cents per litre lower
- likely 214.3 to 232.0 c/L221.22.0 cents per litre lower
- likely 212.5 to 234.3 c/L220.92.3 cents per litre lower
- likely 210.8 to 236.6 c/L220.72.5 cents per litre lower
- likely 210.8 to 236.6 c/L220.72.5 cents per litre lower
When is fuel cheapest in Sydney?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Sydney were within 0.8 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 212.8 c/LTue 18 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | 19.9 c/L overCity average 232.7 c/L on Sun 15 Nov |
From 90 days of Sydney P95 city daily averages to Sun 15 Nov.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.58 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.87 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 51,428 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.88 | 0.98 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.05 | 2.42 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.58 | 4.87 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.97 | 8.05 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How does FuelRadar make the forecast?
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Sydney's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Sydney P95 outlook, adjusted by -8.5 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.7 c/L on average over the 30 days to 14 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.0 c/L).
30 days checked · 16 Oct to 14 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Croydon?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Croydon is estimated to edge down about 2.5 c/L, to 220.7 c/L by Mon 23 Nov (likely 210.8–236.6), from 223.2 c/L estimated for Mon 16 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Croydon?
There is no fixed best day for Croydon. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 16 Oct to 14 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Sydney were off by 0.7 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.0 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.