Empire Bay P95 price forecast
As of Sat 14 Nov, Empire Bay P95 averages 233.4 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 4.7 c/L to 228.7 c/L by Sat 21 Nov.
P95
Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may edge down about 4.7 c/L by Sat 21 Nov.
How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 4.5 c/L on average over 50,257 checks; assuming prices stay the same was off by 4.7 c/L.
Sydney prices are typical right now
The city average of 233.4 c/L sits inside the usual range of 223.9 to 255.0 c/L for the last 91 days. That is higher than on 33% of the last 91 days.
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Cheapest P95 near Empire Bay now
Updated
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Sat 14 Nov.
See the Empire Bay P95 forecast in the app
The 7-day Empire Bay forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
More about the Empire Bay forecast
Empire Bay P95 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Empire Bay uses the Sydney P95 outlook.
What usually happens next
The estimate is down about 4.7 c/L to 228.7 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated its estimate at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Sydney fell 15.3 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.7% to US$96.00 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
P95 forecast chart and daily figures
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 233.4 c/L on 14 Nov 2026 to 228.7 c/L on 21 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sat 14 Nov, then the FuelRadar Sydney estimate dated Sat 14 Nov with its likely range shaded, the Sydney city average for Empire Bay.
First lower estimate: Sun 15 Nov, about 231.9 c/L (1.5 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 233.4 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 230.7 to 233.9 c/L231.9
- likely 228.3 to 234.9 c/L230.9
- likely 225.8 to 235.8 c/L229.8
- likely 224.1 to 238.1 c/L229.6
- likely 222.4 to 240.3 c/L229.3
- likely 220.6 to 242.4 c/L229.0
- likely 218.8 to 244.6 c/L228.7
When is fuel cheapest in Sydney?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Sydney were within 0.8 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 211.8 c/LSun 16 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | 21.6 c/L overCity average 233.4 c/L on Sat 14 Nov |
From 91 days of Sydney P95 city daily averages to Sat 14 Nov.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Sydney's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. These are Sydney city averages, not a separate Empire Bay forecast. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.7 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).
30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Empire Bay?
Estimate only: P95 in Empire Bay is estimated to edge down about 4.7 c/L, to 228.7 c/L by Sat 21 Nov (likely 218.8–244.6), from 233.4 c/L reported Sat 14 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Empire Bay?
There is no fixed best day for Empire Bay. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Sydney were off by 0.7 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.7 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.