Moama P95 price forecast

As of Tue 10 Nov, Moama P95 averages 266.5 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 0.8 c/L to 265.7 c/L by Tue 17 Nov.

P95

Likely steady

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): little change expected by Tue 17 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).
City average (estimate) · 266.5 c/L
Expected by 265.7 c/L

Cheapest station: 275.9 c/L at EG Ampol Moama · Updated

Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 265.0 c/L (1.5 below today).

Alert me below 274.4
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P95: last 30 days and the next 7

P95: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 266.5 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 265.7 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Shaded area shows the estimated range.

Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Sydney estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 23.9 c/L higher for Moama's local prices.

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 266.5 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 263.2 to 270.5 c/L265.7
  2. likely 261.1 to 272.3 c/L265.0
  3. likely 260.1 to 274.6 c/L265.2
  4. likely 259.2 to 276.9 c/L265.4
  5. likely 258.1 to 279.1 c/L265.5
  6. likely 257.1 to 281.5 c/L265.7
  7. likely 256.9 to 281.5 c/L265.7
Download today and the next 7 days (CSV)

Moama P95 forecast explained

What usually happens next

From the bottom of the cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 0.8 c/L to 265.7 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Price cycleCall
Sydney243.6Cycle paused241.8 by Tue 17 Nov
Melbourne245.6Cycle paused243.5 by Tue 17 Nov
Brisbane244.0Cycle paused242.4 by Tue 17 Nov
Perth234.0 (lowest)Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 248.2 peak222.1 by Tue 17 Nov
Adelaide236.3Cycle paused234.0 by Tue 17 Nov
Canberra260.9Cycle paused260.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Darwin258.0Cycle paused258.6 by Tue 17 Nov
Hobart256.5Cycle paused255.4 by Tue 17 Nov

See the Moama P95 forecast in the app

The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play
FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
4.55 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
4.70 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.

From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.870.97Closer than no change
3 days ahead2.082.37Closer than no change
7 days ahead4.554.70About the same as no change
14 days ahead7.898.00About the same as no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

Sydney forecast graphics for news

The Sydney P95 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).

Get these as graphics:

Forecast board16:94:59:16

When to fill16:94:59:16

Free to use in news coverage with the credit "Source: FuelRadar". The media page has the dated addresses.

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Moama's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.7 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).

30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov

Forecast test results

Forecast questions

When will P95 prices go down in Moama?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Moama is estimated to change little, to 265.7 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 256.9–281.5), from 266.5 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy P95 in Moama?

There is no fixed best day for Moama. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Sydney were off by 0.7 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.7 c/L).

Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?

A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.

Will p95 prices go up tomorrow in Moama?

Estimate only: FuelRadar's Moama estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 265.7 c/L, down 0.8 c/L on the 266.5 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Moama missed by 0.7 c/L on average over 30 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.

When will diesel prices go down in Moama?

Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Moama diesel city daily average was 282.2 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 5.7 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Moama diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.