Alice Springs P95 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Alice Springs P95 averages 279.5 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 1.2 c/L to 278.3 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Bp Gap Road, is 272.9 c/L, 6.6 c/L under the average.
P95Outlook updated
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 1.2 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 4.0 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 4.6 c/L.Cheapest of 11 stations: 272.9 c/L at Bp Gap Road · Updated
Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 278.3 c/L (1.2 below today).
Alert me below 271.7Cheapest P95 in Alice Springs now
Updated
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 280.5 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 279.5 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 278.3 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Alice Springs estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 279.5 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 278.2 to 282.8 c/L279.2
- likely 277.3 to 284.4 c/L278.9
- likely 276.5 to 286.8 c/L278.8
- likely 275.6 to 289.2 c/L278.6
- likely 274.8 to 291.6 c/L278.5
- likely 273.9 to 294.0 c/L278.3
- likely 273.9 to 294.0 c/L278.3
Alice Springs prices are typical right now
The city average of 279.9 c/L sits inside the usual range of 247.4 to 280.1 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 68% of the last 90 days.
Alice Springs P95 forecast explained
What usually happens next
Alice Springs has no regular price cycle, and its average has moved little recently, so the estimate stays close to today's price.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 243.6 | Cycle paused | 241.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 245.6 | Cycle paused | 243.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 244.0 | Cycle paused | 242.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 234.0 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 248.2 peak | 222.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 236.3 | Cycle paused | 234.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 260.9 | Cycle paused | 260.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 258.0 | Cycle paused | 258.6 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 256.5 | Cycle paused | 255.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is P95 cheapest in Alice Springs?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Alice Springs were within 0.6 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 240.0 c/LTue 18 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +39.9 c/LCity average 279.9 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Alice Springs P95 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
See the Alice Springs P95 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 3.73 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.00 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 360 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.56 | 0.67 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.50 | 1.91 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 3.73 | 4.00 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 6.66 | 6.89 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Alice Springs forecast graphics for news
The Alice Springs P95 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Alice Springs's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.5 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Alice Springs?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Alice Springs is estimated to edge down about 1.2 c/L, to 278.3 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 273.9–294.0), from 279.5 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Alice Springs?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Alice Springs over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.6 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Alice Springs were off by 0.5 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.7 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest P95 prices in Alice Springs in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Alice Springs P95 city daily average ranged from 240.0 c/L on Tue 18 Aug to 282.8 c/L on Mon 19 Oct. It was 279.9 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will p95 prices go up tomorrow in Alice Springs?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Alice Springs estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 279.2 c/L, down 0.3 c/L on the 279.5 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Alice Springs missed by 0.5 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Alice Springs?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Alice Springs diesel city daily average was 285.6 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 4.5 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Alice Springs diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report