Winton P95 price forecast
As of Fri 13 Nov, Winton P95 averages 262.8 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 0.9 c/L to 261.9 c/L by Fri 20 Nov.
P95
Likely steady
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): little change expected by Fri 20 Nov.
More about this price
Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).
How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 4.5 c/L on average over 50,257 checks.
Brisbane prices are typical right now
The city average of 236.7 c/L sits inside the usual range of 221.5 to 253.1 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 37% of the last 90 days.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Thu 12 Nov.
Cheapest P95 near Winton now
Updated
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More about the Winton forecast
Winton P95 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Winton uses the Brisbane P95 outlook, adjusted by 27.4 c/L for Winton's own price history.
What usually happens next
Following Brisbane's price cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 0.9 c/L to 261.9 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Brisbane fell 13.6 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.3% to US$93.12 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
P95 forecast chart and daily figures
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 262.8 c/L on 13 Nov 2026 to 261.9 c/L on 20 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Thu 12 Nov, then the FuelRadar Brisbane estimate dated Thu 12 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 27.4 c/L higher for Winton's local prices.
Lowest estimate: Sun 15 Nov, about 260.9 c/L (1.9 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 262.8 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 259.4 to 266.2 c/L261.9
- likely 257.0 to 267.8 c/L260.9
- likely 255.8 to 270.4 c/L261.2
- likely 254.5 to 272.8 c/L261.4
- likely 253.4 to 275.4 c/L261.7
- likely 252.1 to 277.8 c/L261.9
- likely 252.1 to 277.8 c/L261.9
When is fuel cheapest in Brisbane?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 12 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Brisbane were within 0.6 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 215.1 c/LTue 18 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | 21.6 c/L overCity average 236.7 c/L on Thu 12 Nov |
From 90 days of Brisbane P95 city daily averages to Thu 12 Nov.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Brisbane's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Brisbane P95 outlook, adjusted by 27.4 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.6 c/L on average, no better than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).
30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Winton?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Winton is estimated to change little, to 261.9 c/L by Fri 20 Nov (likely 252.1–277.8), from 262.8 c/L estimated for Fri 13 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Winton?
There is no fixed best day for Winton. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Brisbane were off by 0.6 c/L on average over 30 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.