Gawler East P95 price forecast
As of Mon 16 Nov, Gawler East P95 averages an estimated 217.8 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 1.4 c/L to 216.4 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
P95
Likely to fall
estimate to- Usual forecast error a week out
- ±5.9 c/L(simply assuming no change: ±5.9)
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P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 217.8 c/L on 16 Nov 2026 to 216.2 c/L on 23 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 16 Nov, then the FuelRadar Gawler estimate dated Mon 16 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 2.9 c/L lower for Gawler East's local prices.
First lower estimate: Wed 18 Nov, about 217.2 c/L (0.6 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 217.8 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 215.7 to 219.0 c/L217.50.3 cents per litre lower
- likely 213.6 to 221.7 c/L217.20.6 cents per litre lower
- likely 211.6 to 224.3 c/L216.90.9 cents per litre lower
- likely 209.6 to 226.6 c/L216.71.1 cents per litre lower
- likely 207.8 to 229.0 c/L216.61.2 cents per litre lower
- likely 205.8 to 231.3 c/L216.41.4 cents per litre lower
- likely 203.9 to 233.6 c/L216.21.6 cents per litre lower
Cheapest P95 near Gawler East now
Updated
Capital cities
City averages, Mon 16 Nov.
Questions about the Gawler East forecast
Gawler East P95 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Gawler East uses the Gawler P95 outlook, adjusted by -2.9 c/L for Gawler East's own price history.
What usually happens next
Gawler has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages, blended with the latest five-day change in wholesale prices. That puts it down about 1.4 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 15.7 c/L to 195.8 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 4.8% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate already blends in that wholesale change.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 5.88 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 5.91 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 360 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.93 | 1.07 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.62 | 2.95 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 5.88 | 5.91 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 9.86 | 9.91 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How does FuelRadar make the forecast?
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Gawler's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Gawler P95 outlook, adjusted by -2.9 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 1.0 c/L on average over the 30 days to 14 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.2 c/L).
30 days checked · 16 Oct to 14 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Gawler East?
Estimate only: P95 in Gawler East is estimated to edge down about 1.6 c/L, to 216.2 c/L by Mon 23 Nov (likely 203.9–233.6), from 217.8 c/L estimated for Mon 16 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 5.9 c/L on average, about the same as assuming prices stay the same (5.9 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Gawler East?
There is no fixed best day for Gawler East. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 16 Oct to 14 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Gawler were off by 1.0 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.2 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.











