Horsham P95 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Horsham P95 averages 252.8 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 1.8 c/L to 251.0 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Haven General Store, is 246.9 c/L, 5.9 c/L under the average.
P95Outlook updated
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may fall about 4.3 c/L by Thu 12 Nov, then sit about 1.8 c/L below today by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.5 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 6.1 c/L.Cheapest of 6 stations: 246.9 c/L at Haven General Store · Updated
Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 249.4 c/L (3.4 below today).
Chance of a rise of 5 c/L or more within 3 days: 15%
Alert me below 243.5P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 263.3 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 252.8 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 251.0 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Horsham estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 252.8 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 249.4 to 255.9 c/L251.1
- likely 246.7 to 256.5 c/L249.4
- likely 246.1 to 259.1 c/L249.8
- likely 245.5 to 261.8 c/L250.2
- likely 244.8 to 264.4 c/L250.6
- likely 244.2 to 267.1 c/L251.0
- likely 244.2 to 267.1 c/L251.0
Horsham prices are typical right now
The city average of 253.7 c/L sits inside the usual range of 225.6 to 258.6 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 44% of the last 90 days.
Horsham P95 forecast explained
What usually happens next
From the top of the cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 1.8 c/L to 251.0 c/L by . The modelled next low is around 249.4 c/L on . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 243.6 | Cycle paused | 241.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 245.6 | Cycle paused | 243.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 244.0 | Cycle paused | 242.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 234.0 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 248.2 peak | 222.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 236.3 | Cycle paused | 234.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 260.9 | Cycle paused | 260.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 258.0 | Cycle paused | 258.6 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 256.5 | Cycle paused | 255.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is P95 cheapest in Horsham?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Horsham were within 0.8 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 217.5 c/LSun 16 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +36.2 c/LCity average 253.7 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Horsham P95 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.95 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 5.01 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 446 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.83 | 0.88 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.06 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.95 | 5.01 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 8.48 | 8.28 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Horsham forecast graphics for news
The Horsham P95 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Horsham's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.9 c/L on average, no better than assuming prices stay the same (1.0 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Horsham?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Horsham is estimated to fall about 4.3 c/L by Thu 12 Nov, then sit about 1.8 c/L below today, 251.0 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 244.2–267.1), from 252.8 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.5 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 6.1 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Horsham?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Horsham over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.8 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Horsham were off by 1.0 c/L on average over 56 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.
What were the lowest and highest P95 prices in Horsham in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Horsham P95 city daily average ranged from 217.5 c/L on Sun 16 Aug to 264.3 c/L on Thu 15 Oct. It was 253.7 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will p95 prices go up tomorrow in Horsham?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Horsham estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 251.1 c/L, down 1.7 c/L on the 252.8 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Horsham missed by 0.9 c/L on average over 56 days checked, about the same as assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Horsham?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Horsham diesel city daily average was 278.0 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 5.3 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Horsham diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
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