Hughesdale P95 price forecast
As of Fri 13 Nov, Hughesdale P95 averages 236.4 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 5.6 c/L to 230.8 c/L by Fri 20 Nov.
P95
Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may edge down about 5.6 c/L by Fri 20 Nov.
More about this price
Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).
How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 4.5 c/L on average over 50,257 checks.
Melbourne prices are typical right now
The city average of 236.4 c/L sits inside the usual range of 222.6 to 252.0 c/L for the last 91 days. That is higher than on 37% of the last 91 days.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Fri 13 Nov.
See the Hughesdale P95 forecast in the app
The 7-day Hughesdale forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
More about the Hughesdale forecast
Hughesdale P95 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Hughesdale uses the Melbourne P95 outlook.
What usually happens next
Following Melbourne's price cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 5.6 c/L to 230.8 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Melbourne fell 13.3 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 2.8% to US$95.20 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
P95 forecast chart and daily figures
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 236.4 c/L on 13 Nov 2026 to 230.8 c/L on 20 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Fri 13 Nov, then the FuelRadar Melbourne estimate dated Fri 13 Nov with its likely range shaded, the Melbourne city average for Hughesdale.
First lower estimate: Sat 14 Nov, about 235.6 c/L (0.8 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 236.4 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 233.9 to 238.2 c/L235.6
- likely 231.1 to 238.3 c/L233.9
- likely 228.3 to 238.4 c/L232.2
- likely 226.2 to 240.3 c/L231.8
- likely 224.3 to 242.2 c/L231.5
- likely 222.2 to 244.1 c/L231.1
- likely 220.3 to 246.1 c/L230.8
When is fuel cheapest in Melbourne?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 12 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Melbourne were within 1.7 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 211.9 c/LWed 19 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | 24.5 c/L overCity average 236.4 c/L on Fri 13 Nov |
From 91 days of Melbourne P95 city daily averages to Fri 13 Nov.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Melbourne's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. These are Melbourne city averages, not a separate Hughesdale forecast. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.6 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).
30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Hughesdale?
Estimate only: P95 in Hughesdale is estimated to edge down about 5.6 c/L, to 230.8 c/L by Fri 20 Nov (likely 220.3–246.1), from 236.4 c/L reported Fri 13 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Hughesdale?
There is no fixed best day for Hughesdale. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Melbourne were off by 0.6 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.7 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.