Moonee Ponds P95 price forecast
As of Mon 16 Nov, Moonee Ponds P95 averages 238.5 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 2.0 c/L to 236.5 c/L by Mon 23 Nov.
P95
More fuels (1)
Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may edge down about 2.0 c/L by Mon 23 Nov.
- City average (estimate)
- 238.5 c/L
- Typical miss, a week ahead
- 4.6 c/L(no change: 4.9)
Melbourne prices are typical right now
Cheaper than on 65% of the last 91 days. Usual range 223.7 to 252.0 c/L.
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Cheapest P95 near Moonee Ponds now
Updated
Capital cities
City averages, Mon 16 Nov.
See the Moonee Ponds P95 forecast in the app
The 7-day Moonee Ponds forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
Questions about the Moonee Ponds forecast
Moonee Ponds P95 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Moonee Ponds uses the Melbourne P95 outlook, adjusted by 4.5 c/L for Moonee Ponds's own price history.
What usually happens next
The estimate is down about 2.0 c/L to 236.5 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated its estimate at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Melbourne fell 16.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 4.8% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
What is the P95 estimate each day, and can I download it?
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 238.5 c/L on 16 Nov 2026 to 236.5 c/L on 23 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 16 Nov, then the FuelRadar Melbourne estimate dated Mon 16 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 4.5 c/L higher for Moonee Ponds's local prices.
First lower estimate: Wed 18 Nov, about 237.6 c/L (0.9 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 238.5 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 236.5 to 240.0 c/L238.20.3 cents per litre lower
- likely 234.8 to 241.5 c/L237.60.9 cents per litre lower
- likely 233.2 to 243.1 c/L237.11.4 cents per litre lower
- likely 231.3 to 245.2 c/L236.91.6 cents per litre lower
- likely 229.5 to 247.4 c/L236.81.7 cents per litre lower
- likely 227.7 to 249.6 c/L236.61.9 cents per litre lower
- likely 225.9 to 251.8 c/L236.52.0 cents per litre lower
When is fuel cheapest in Melbourne?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Melbourne were within 1.5 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 211.9 c/LWed 19 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | 22.1 c/L overCity average 234.0 c/L on Mon 16 Nov |
From 91 days of Melbourne P95 city daily averages to Mon 16 Nov.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.58 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.87 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 51,428 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.88 | 0.98 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.05 | 2.42 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.58 | 4.87 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.97 | 8.05 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How does FuelRadar make the forecast?
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Melbourne's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Melbourne P95 outlook, adjusted by 4.5 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.8 c/L on average over the 30 days to 14 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.0 c/L).
30 days checked · 16 Oct to 14 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Moonee Ponds?
Estimate only: P95 in Moonee Ponds is estimated to edge down about 2.0 c/L, to 236.5 c/L by Mon 23 Nov (likely 225.9–251.8), from 238.5 c/L estimated for Mon 16 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Moonee Ponds?
There is no fixed best day for Moonee Ponds. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 16 Oct to 14 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Melbourne were off by 0.8 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.0 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.