Centennial Park P95 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Centennial Park P95 averages 241.2 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 1.9 c/L to 239.3 c/L by Tue 17 Nov.
P95
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 1.9 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.9 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (5.0 c/L).Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 238.6 c/L (2.6 below today).
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Updated
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 241.2 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 239.3 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Albany estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 0.4 c/L lower for Centennial Park's local prices.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 241.2 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 238.2 to 243.9 c/L239.9
- likely 236.2 to 244.9 c/L238.6
- likely 235.5 to 246.9 c/L238.8
- likely 234.8 to 249.0 c/L239.0
- likely 234.1 to 251.0 c/L239.2
- likely 233.3 to 253.0 c/L239.3
- likely 233.3 to 253.0 c/L239.3
Centennial Park P95 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Centennial Park uses the Albany P95 outlook, adjusted by -0.4 c/L for Centennial Park's own price history.
What usually happens next
Albany has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That puts it down about 1.9 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 1.0% to US$93.70 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 243.6 | Cycle paused | 241.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 245.6 | Cycle paused | 243.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 244.0 | Cycle paused | 242.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 234.0 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 248.2 peak | 222.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 236.3 | Cycle paused | 234.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 260.9 | Cycle paused | 260.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 258.0 | Cycle paused | 258.6 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 256.5 | Cycle paused | 255.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.89 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 5.02 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 448 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.66 | 0.89 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.95 | 2.42 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.89 | 5.02 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 8.05 | 7.77 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Albany's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Albany P95 outlook, adjusted by -0.4 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.5 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.6 c/L).
30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Centennial Park?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Centennial Park is estimated to edge down about 1.9 c/L, to 239.3 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 233.3–253.0), from 241.2 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.9 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (5.0 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Centennial Park?
There is no fixed best day for Centennial Park. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Albany were off by 0.5 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.6 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report











