Willetton P95 price forecast

As of Fri 13 Nov, Willetton P95 averages 226.0 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 4.0 c/L to 222.0 c/L by Fri 20 Nov.

P95

Likely to fall

Estimate only: prices may edge down about 4.0 c/L by Fri 20 Nov.

More about this price

Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).

City average (estimate) · 226.0 c/L
Expected by 222.0 c/L

Perth's average last bottomed at 220.7 c/L on Wed 11 Nov, 2 days ago, and is 4.8 c/L higher now. Its last peak was 248.2 c/L on Thu 5 Nov.

How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 4.5 c/L on average over 50,257 checks.

Near the low point of this cycle

At 225.5 c/L, the city average is 22.7 c/L below the 248.2 peak on Thu 5 Nov and 4.8 c/L above the 220.7 low on Wed 11 Nov. Prices overall are higher than on 26% of the last 91 days.

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Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Fri 13 Nov.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Call
Sydney235.0↓ 5.0 by Fri 20 Nov
Melbourne236.4↓ 5.6 by Fri 20 Nov
Brisbane233.9↓ 3.6 by Fri 20 Nov
Perth225.5 (lowest)↓ 4.0 by Fri 20 Nov
Adelaide228.5↓ 2.6 by Fri 20 Nov
Canberra250.6→ 0.0 by Fri 20 Nov
Darwin255.0↑ 1.0 by Fri 20 Nov
Hobart246.7↓ 4.8 by Fri 20 Nov

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More about the Willetton forecast

Willetton P95 forecast explained

Where prices sit

Willetton uses the Perth P95 outlook, adjusted by 0.5 c/L for Willetton's own price history.

What usually happens next

From the bottom of the cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 4.0 c/L to 222.0 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Perth fell 14.2 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 2.8% to US$95.20 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

P95 forecast chart and daily figures

P95: last 30 days and the next 7

P95: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 226.0 c/L on 13 Nov 2026 to 222.0 c/L on 20 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Shaded area shows the estimated range.

Reported city averages to Fri 13 Nov, then the FuelRadar Perth estimate dated Fri 13 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 0.5 c/L higher for Willetton's local prices.

Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 219.0 c/L (7.0 below today).

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 226.0 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 219.9 to 225.0 c/L222.8
  2. likely 215.7 to 227.9 c/L220.9
  3. likely 211.6 to 230.8 c/L219.0
  1. likely 211.7 to 232.3 c/L219.8
  2. likely 211.6 to 233.7 c/L220.5
  3. likely 211.7 to 235.2 c/L221.3
  4. likely 211.6 to 236.7 c/L222.0

When is fuel cheapest in Perth?

P95 prices in Perth have cycled about every 7 days over the last 12 completed cycles since Aug 2026.

A typical cycle rose 13.6 c/L in about 1 day from its low, then fell 13.2 c/L from the peak to the next low.

Prices usually stayed within 2 c/L of the low for about 1 day.

Wednesday is usually the cheapest day for P95 in Perth: it was the lowest in 11 of 11 full weeks to , 7.0 c/L under the weekly average. Thursday was the dearest in 11 of 11.

When is P95 cheapest in Perth?
Typical cycle, low to low7 days
Rise from the low to the peak13.6 c/LOver about 1 day
Fall from the peak to the next low13.2 c/L
Days near the bottom1 dayWithin 2 c/L of the low
Cheapest weekdayWednesdayLowest in 11 of 11 full weeks

Medians over the last 12 completed Perth cycles since Aug 2026, from the city daily averages.

What usually follows a Perth price peak

What usually happens after a peak

Past 12 cycles
Median change from the peak, c/L Middle half of past cycles

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

7 days after their peak, the last 12 Perth cycles since Aug 2026 sat a median 0.6 c/L below the peak, the middle half from 1.8 below to 3.7 above.

Past Perth cycles lined up on their peak day, from the city daily averages. A record of past cycles, not a forecast.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
4.55 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
4.70 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.

From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.870.97Closer than no change
3 days ahead2.082.37Closer than no change
7 days ahead4.554.70About the same as no change
14 days ahead7.898.00About the same as no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Perth's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Perth P95 outlook, adjusted by 0.5 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 1.0 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (3.9 c/L).

30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov

Forecast test results

Fuel price reports

What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.

Australia U91
242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before

Forecast questions

When will P95 prices go down in Willetton?

Estimate only: P95 in Willetton is estimated to edge down about 4.0 c/L, to 222.0 c/L by Fri 20 Nov (likely 211.6–236.7), from 226.0 c/L estimated for Fri 13 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy P95 in Willetton?

There is no fixed best day for Willetton. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Perth were off by 1.0 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (3.9 c/L).

Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?

A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.