P95 price forecast: when will prices go down?

As of Tue 10 Nov, P95 outlooks are published for 8 of 8 capitals. Perth has the cheapest capital average at 234.0 c/L, and Wednesday has been the cheapest day in Perth in 11 of 11 recent full weeks.

P95 · 8 capitalsOutlooks updated

P95 outlooks are published for 8 of 8 capitals.

Estimate only: past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).
Lowest average: Perth · 234.0 c/L
Highest: Canberra · 260.9 c/L
Alert me when it drops
Compare station prices near you

Why prices are moving

P95 · as of Tue 10 Nov

National average

The national P95 average is at its 30-day low: 245.1 c/L on , down 14.9 c/L from its high on .

Price cycles

Perth (peak 248.2 c/L on ) is falling after its price-cycle peak. The other 7 capitals have no active cycle.

Cheapest day

Wednesday was cheapest in Perth in 11 of 11 full weeks.

  • Perth

    CycleFalling after its peak

Last low Last high Latestc/L, every chart on the same scale

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au) · data as at 9 Nov 2026, 10:00 am AEST

Forecasts for every town

P95: where today's forecast covers a town, its latest city daily average, where it sits in its price cycle and its call. City daily averages, not station prices; a town's call is checked against its own past estimates.

New South Wales

Victoria

Queensland

Western Australia

South Australia

Australian Capital Territory

Northern Territory

Tasmania

How accurate is the forecast?

How we forecast: Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth follow their usual price cycles; Adelaide, Canberra, Darwin and Hobart follow their recent trend. After a market-wide move, the Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth cycle estimates restate their lows and highs at today's price level. Each estimate starts from the city's daily average of reported station prices, and its likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day city estimates missed by 0.7 c/L on average, no better than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L). Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).

Forecast test results

Forecast questions

When will P95 prices go down?

P95 outlooks are published for 8 of 8 capitals (as of Tue 10 Nov). Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). Wednesday was cheapest in Perth in 11 of 11 full weeks. Estimates only: check current station prices before you wait to fill.

Is P95 going up?

P95 outlooks are published for 8 of 8 capitals (as of Tue 10 Nov). Estimates only: check current station prices before you wait to fill.

What is the P95 price prediction for next week?

FuelRadar's P95 estimates for Tue 17 Nov, cheapest first: Perth 222.1 c/L (down 11.9), Adelaide 234.0 c/L (down 2.3), Sydney 241.8 c/L (down 1.8), Brisbane 242.4 c/L (down 1.6), Melbourne 243.5 c/L (down 2.1), Hobart 255.4 c/L (down 1.1), Darwin 258.6 c/L (up 0.6) and Canberra 260.9 c/L (no change). Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). Estimates only: check current station prices before you wait to fill.

When will diesel prices come down?

Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. Over the 30 days to Mon 9 Nov, the diesel city daily average fell in 8 of 8 capitals; the largest fall was Adelaide, 18.8 c/L. The national wholesale diesel price was 257.0 c/L on Fri 6 Nov, down 9.7 c/L over five days. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: each capital's diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.

What is the best day to buy P95 in Australia?

No single day applies across Australia: in Perth, Wednesday was the lowest day in 11 of 11 recent full weeks. The other capitals showed no consistently cheaper weekday.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts were off by 0.7 c/L on average over 2929 city-day checks. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.

How long are P95 price cycles in each capital?

Over the last 90 days, P95 prices cycled in Perth about every 7 days.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.

See your city's fuel forecast in the app

The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play
FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.